Chance is what you are handed over
Choice is what you do with it
How do you play a game of dice?
The dice is indifferent - to you or another
How do I know what is going to fall?
To use with proper care and skill - whatever does fall
that is my business!
One tool that helps is the decision making framework :
Choice - Chance table : please read this below
https://hbr.org/1964/07/decision-trees-for-decision-making
This is a fantastic tool to handle the chance effects , if not fully, but at least with confidence!